Mikhail Doronin's blog

Phases

Phases — midoronin.com

A Dubai community built in phases is almost never finished in the phase-count the brochure promises. Phase 4 becomes Phase 6, the pricing keeps climbing, and Phase 1 buyers keep winning.

Phases are distinct sequential stages in which a large master-planned development is built and released for sale. Each phase has its own tower or cluster of units, its own construction timeline, its own handover date, and — importantly — its own price point. Developers use phases the way airlines use fare classes: discriminating between early and late buyers, adjusting to demand as the community’s profile firms up.

In Dubai Hills Estate, Phase 1 and Phase 2 cluster residents typically sit on 25-45% capital appreciation by the time Phase 5 or 6 launches. The early buyers are buying a forecast. The late buyers are buying a proven community. Same land, different risk-return profiles, different prices.

For investors, phase one on a proven master developer is the highest expected return on a DLD-backed asset. For end users who want certainty about schools, retail, and neighbours, phase four or five is worth the premium.

Related: Master Developer, Launch Phase, Limited Release, Unit Release.


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