Mikhail Doronin's blog

Inventory

Inventory — midoronin.com

The inventory number a developer or an area portal shows you is almost always the wrong one. Real inventory is the number that actually trades within a reasonable budget and time window.

Inventory in a Dubai real estate context is the total set of available property units in a project, building, or area at a given time. The published number usually overstates reality by including listings that are overpriced, stale (re-listed for months without actual activity), duplicated across agencies, or held off-market in exclusive channels. A Business Bay search on Property Finder might show 2,400 apartments for sale. The actual count of units priced within 5% of recent DLD comparables, with verified Form A, and likely to close within 30 days, is far smaller — often under 300.

I run DLD transaction analytics before every client brief to identify the real, tradeable inventory, not the portal count. The difference is usually a factor of 5-10x.

When an agent quotes you “hundreds of options,” ask how many transacted in the last 90 days within your budget. That number is the one that matters.

Related: Exclusive Inventory, Secondary Market, Unit Release, Absorption Rate.


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